Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5524093ea34dff0680b0a66cd8e5908a9aceaca621e34f46a310c92c640dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 68c | 7,039$4,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 32c | 4,327$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,954$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 2,408$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.7 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 32c | 769.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.28 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 68c | 661.76$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 17c | 608.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.45 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 66c | 600.67$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 556.4$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 449.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 444.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 412$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 388.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 68c | 266.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 258.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 41c | 194.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 59c | 194.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 60c | 194$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 40c | 194$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 176.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 145.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 132.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 67c | 130$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 64c | 122.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 67c | 108.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 67c | 99.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 77.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 73.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 36c | 62.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 64c | 60.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…1d1fbacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 32c | 40.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 32c | 31.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 68c | 28.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 68c | 26.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…0300backed Yes | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…3f86backed Yes | 55c | 19.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.