Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66b9d743fdf3a140c2cffab1c139977ad500391e170c5ca04cab02142f10c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Over | 72c | 24,035$17,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,729.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 18,576$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.17 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 78c | 9,400$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 5,802$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 2,505$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.42 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 1,319$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 28c | 1,131$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 1,086$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.93 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 34c | 1,054$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 28c | 1,033$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.15 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 743.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 28c | 613.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 20c | 499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 29c | 447.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 14c | 408.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 14c | 356$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 27c | 320$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 61c | 293.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 10c | 269.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 18c | 199.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 72c | 188.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 152.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 109$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 10c | 104.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 12c | 85.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 72c | 69.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed Over | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 29c | 52.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 28c | 49.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 72c | 45.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 28c | 44.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 36.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 79c | 23.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 73c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…dbafbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.