TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbachof Borussia Mönchengladbach, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach6c3,266$206 inWon+$3,059.743532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c8…2f91backed Borussia Mönchengladbach3c2,062$62 inWon+$2,000.141100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa036…1f43backed Borussia Mönchengladbach4c1,050$39 inWon+$1,011.231100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,608.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7649…e594backed Borussia Mönchengladbach2c1,039$25 inWon+$1,014.061100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,066.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1d…0f1cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach3c1,033$30 inWon+$1,003.041100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,348.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9319…4407backed Borussia Mönchengladbach3c1,015$30 inWon+$984.531100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31f0…dabcbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach3c1,012$25 inWon+$986.71100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick3cpaid+3,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb12f…801dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach2c992$24 inWon+$968.191100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,066.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa60…c398backed Borussia Mönchengladbach3c988$30 inWon+$958.361100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Borussia Mönchengladbach18c551.38$99 inWon+$452.413,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach38c130$49 inWon+$80.6944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Borussia Mönchengladbach41c97.63$40 inWon+$57.634535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach17c90.66$16 inWon+$75.162,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim59c67.63$40 inLost-$39.91,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.