Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd99758fad90d776f2ea862a29ee7e7864169d0278e52bc7f5f8a7a4e1bfab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 19c | 1,067$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 38c | 241.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 171.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 158.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 158.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 63c | 87.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 35c | 54.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 65c | 47.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 65c | 43.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 36c | 33.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 62c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 64c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.