Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3891935c7d369b2a22283d8d0ef8dd071201f5a3e806c08f38e739ccee1aaf13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x037e…0c63backed No | 79c | 8,565$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 15c | 6,198$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.92 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,061$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,994$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,049$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.21 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,552$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 18c | 2,315$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.17 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 76c | 2,269$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.02 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 76c | 1,778$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.9 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 1,538$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 12c | 1,444$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 26c | 1,369$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.35 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 76c | 1,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…fcb5backed Yes | 23c | 1,268$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 18c | 1,100$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,092$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 23c | 923.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…ed65backed No | 80c | 869.98$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…aa35backed Yes | 17c | 859.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 853.63$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 14c | 827.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 15c | 811.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 36c | 800.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 24c | 781.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 14c | 737.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 20c | 715.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…1111backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…2bf7backed Yes | 29c | 686.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…9112backed Yes | 29c | 678.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 8c | 676.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 19c | 670.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 29c | 639.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 76c | 601.56$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 25c | 585.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 12c | 581.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 65c | 575.71$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 552.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 76c | 531.06$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…64b8backed Yes | 26c | 459.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…25a6backed Yes | 25c | 451.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 29c | 420.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 17c | 419.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…e144backed Yes | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 26c | 376.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 24c | 354.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…8359backed Yes | 8c | 319.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 10c | 301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 300.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 78c | 284.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…bdf5backed No | 70c | 262.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 33c | 240.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 24c | 233.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 25c | 220.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…c864backed Yes | 65c | 212.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 13c | 199.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 33c | 195.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed Yes | 24c | 191.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…5a25backed Yes | 19c | 157.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 151.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…045ebacked No | 68c | 147.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…7fe0backed No | 69c | 144.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…936dbacked Yes | 11c | 140.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…e543backed No | 75c | 133.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 73c | 128.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…edcabacked Yes | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Yes | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 20c | 101.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked No | 80c | 100.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…f4f1backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…b879backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…e8bdbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 67c | 97.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed Yes | 33c | 75.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…86c6backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 67.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 21c | 67.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed No | 77c | 62.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked No | 70c | 54.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 30c | 54.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 26c | 51.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 79c | 49.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.