Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54c230e71e2357fbe3a74538337cbb86d7b16541162b7955cd5134eb172a2e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 4,271$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 53c | 2,438$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.81 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 75c | 1,970$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.62 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 1,275$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 63c | 872.95$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.93 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 527.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 498.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 225.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 79c | 209.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 201.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 27c | 185.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 26c | 74.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 73.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 73.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 27c | 56.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 26c | 55.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 24c | 49.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 71c | 46.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 42.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…15f9backed Under | 55c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 37c | 35.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…b598backed Under | 48c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 68c | 29.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Over | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…830fbacked Over | 71c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Falkirk FC (-1.5)St Mirren FC won
- Spread: St Mirren FC (-1.5)St Mirren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.