Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae20e358945dbd206b6b3c734a889f38d58c3cb36f9ee2839c86febd743cfcc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 5,751$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.61 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,677$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 970.12$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 9c | 879.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 537.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 391.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 338.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 9c | 333.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 292.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 276.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 12c | 245.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 207.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 144.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 110.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…958ebacked Under | 48c | 103.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 51c | 86.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 42c | 83.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 71.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 49c | 68.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 67.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 53c | 65.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 55.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 53c | 53.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 47c | 40.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 54c | 32.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 32.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 51c | 32.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 47c | 28.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 55c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Falkirk FC (-1.5)St Mirren FC won
- Spread: St Mirren FC (-1.5)St Mirren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.