TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over79c12,002$9,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4813933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c11,249$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,334.371,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under35c7,748$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.312,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c7,604$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,945.541,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c4,471$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.095,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under54c2,935$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.4619340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed Under71c2,814$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over54c2,371$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.616243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over67c2,246$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003360.6%20 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under14c2,165$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.794254.8%23 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under36c1,900$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.9812139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c1,841$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.8887645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c1,758$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.132,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over60c1,734$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.575242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Over46c1,639$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.51742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7259…000dbacked Over64c1,570$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over53c1,500$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.998132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under19c1,136$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.551136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over29c1,049$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6403855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over56c863.46$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.543243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under64c775.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c735$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.128532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under32c694.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under24c656.4$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.932853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c649.38$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3712074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Over70c599.64$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.753435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under38c568.32$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.36887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick45cpaid+115.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Under36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under57c515.46$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.728741.4%36 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under35c498.16$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.81,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over45c486.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.852937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under40c424.86$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0420238.6%78 W · 124 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c422.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.031,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Over27c420.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.488953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over53c403.56$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over62c368$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.166453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb54c…500abacked Over65c307$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.55540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Under66c304.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.551457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over66c303.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006055%33 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Under34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Under16c289.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.39812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under38c283.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.966349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under49c266.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.024226.2%11 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c254.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.571,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over63c252.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5673538.6%284 W · 451 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under13c195.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.628743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under35c189.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5640051%204 W · 196 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over55c181.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over77c170$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.15644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under37c169.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7825155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under29c169.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0458243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under37c167.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c161.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.436454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c161$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under38c157.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0623660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over57c156.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0726148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over45c156$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.833956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over80c150.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.924663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under30c150.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over22c137.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308736.8%32 W · 55 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5819268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over39c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.715035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed Over71c128.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under38c123.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over58c113.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.653070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under34c98.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.221838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under36c97.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over58c94.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under37c91.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.586437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under20c89.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over62c83.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.633756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283c…ba51backed Under60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under39c77.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.362770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb35d…76d2backed Under40c76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccf…3f09backed Over60c76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over62c75.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.989844.9%44 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under38c72.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Under28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c66.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5876255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under44c65.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3710140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under37c64.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.869439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over28c63.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.775244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over62c61.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.184753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over64c60.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918445.7%84 W · 100 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under35c60.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1919451.5%100 W · 94 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under36c58.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5319261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2a2…c79cbacked Under38c56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…4eb1backed Over62c55.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Over54c55.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over35c54.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.144250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0265…380cbacked Over57c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…ddbcbacked Under43c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.