Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1540bf3ca15aae3c96d2b19ff58a851f85f2689208fde343cf055473bd10b551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,996$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.74 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 23c | 1,141$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 22c | 783.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 536.63$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 60c | 387.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 344.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 320.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 22c | 288.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 76c | 259.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 76c | 259.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under | 40c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 76c | 224.87$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…ba51backed Over | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 37c | 205.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 79c | 176.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 79c | 166.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 70.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 34c | 69.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 34c | 64.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…874dbacked Over | 74c | 60.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 35c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 64c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 44c | 26.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Over | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Over | 72c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce6…f421backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.