TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Dalian Yingbo FCof Henan FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Henan FC37c277.67$102 inLost-$102.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Henan FC33c269.6$90 inLost-$90.196663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Dalian Yingbo FC62c247.31$153 inWon+$94.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Dalian Yingbo FC72c194.44$140 inWon+$54.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dalian Yingbo FC72c191.88$139 inWon+$53.170842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Henan FC29c155.52$45 inLost-$45.16323.8%15 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Dalian Yingbo FC67c147.3$99 inWon+$48.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Henan FC28c129.61$36 inLost-$36.296038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Henan FC30c124.6$37 inLost-$37.382744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Henan FC29c85.16$25 inLost-$24.6235751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Henan FC30c83.33$25 inLost-$2517630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Henan FC30c83.33$25 inLost-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dalian Yingbo FC71c79.22$56 inWon+$23.211,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Dalian Yingbo FC71c64$45 inWon+$18.567749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c9…ed71backed Dalian Yingbo FC58c51.72$30 inWon+$21.721643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Dalian Yingbo FC56c47$26 inWon+$20.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Dalian Yingbo FC80c20$16 inWon+$428251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dalian Yingbo FC78c16$12 inWon+$3.644152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.