Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca578f725984225044075f77b0c9259703e3ed4a4649b4d2b52169c12c2a3e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 10,729$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.31 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 5,241$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 4,115$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 69c | 3,596$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 67c | 3,202$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 34c | 2,959$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.89 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 41c | 2,706$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.55 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 46c | 2,160$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.85 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 1,581$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 49c | 1,104$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 63c | 939.43$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.97 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 2c | 800.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 730$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Yes | 41c | 728.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 719.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 7c | 582.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 537.44$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 42c | 503.17$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 468.57$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 57c | 400$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 37c | 372.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 59c | 368.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 354.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 73c | 299.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 63c | 276.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 72c | 230.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 222.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 50c | 181.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 169.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 66c | 161.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 53c | 151.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked No | 51c | 150.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 45c | 149.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +330.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 51c | 145.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 139.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 59c | 137.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 136.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 75c | 129.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 61c | 116.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 116.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 112.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 95.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 59c | 89.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 50c | 83.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 28c | 77.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 61c | 74.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 59c | 65.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 26c | 62.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 37c | 51.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed No | 54c | 48.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 53c | 47.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Yes | 63c | 47.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 53c | 41.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 51c | 39.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 36.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 59c | 35.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 59c | 35.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 64c | 32.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…ec44backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 60c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 63c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed No | 58c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Yes | 67c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 79c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.