Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad738e3b357281e6794928200da3a78e770c7961cca521d9f30c244d605ca679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,823$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.32 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,712$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.46 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 49c | 1,091$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.39 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 642.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.82 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 305.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 36c | 285.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 249.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 193.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 162.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 18c | 133.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 44c | 100.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 29c | 87.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 29c | 87.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 84.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 70.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 53.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 29c | 50.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 58c | 40.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…cab5backed Yes | 40c | 25.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.