Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c55a964c1b9c7bfc9c83d154bdce6baaf88ae7e84a2a4cee81af499c1ceab7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 46c | 5,860$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 2,846$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.32 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 19c | 1,800$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,406$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 73c | 1,372$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.78 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,163$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 25c | 641.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 518.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 448.53$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 350.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 46c | 332.26$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 267.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 266.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 226.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 140.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 16c | 136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 25c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Yes | 20c | 72.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 57c | 58.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 57c | 58.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 32c | 57.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 48c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 57c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 74c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 70c | 28.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 57c | 23.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 74c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.