Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c7f5162c425dce9a1a17f099f9328cc3d07316f564f099be83ca430b06e891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 49c | 3,793$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.43 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 3,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.92 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 51c | 2,567$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.48 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,883$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.05 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 52c | 964.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 48c | 479.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 50c | 459.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 49c | 371.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 51c | 193.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 170.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 49c | 160.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 50c | 156.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…a878backed No | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 71c | 101.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 50c | 88.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed No | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…cfc2backed Yes | 51c | 62.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 50c | 61.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…71fdbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Yes | 78c | 50.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed Yes | 50c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…2f58backed No | 49c | 46.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…878bbacked Yes | 51c | 46.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…04d7backed No | 50c | 46.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…05d0backed Yes | 50c | 46.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…f43fbacked Yes | 50c | 46.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…6c08backed No | 51c | 45.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…2a13backed Yes | 49c | 45.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…eb44backed No | 49c | 45.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…137ebacked No | 50c | 44.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…2b68backed Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc147…6976backed Yes | 50c | 43.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…4b00backed No | 50c | 43.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…daf9backed No | 50c | 43.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…78dbbacked No | 49c | 42.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…2707backed No | 49c | 42.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…cb3ebacked No | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1821backed Yes | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…19d4backed Yes | 49c | 41.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked No | 53c | 41.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…ef83backed No | 49c | 41.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…8c64backed Yes | 50c | 41.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…a4acbacked Yes | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…19a4backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…9173backed Yes | 50c | 40.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…406dbacked No | 49c | 39.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…0b6cbacked No | 50c | 39.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…1ddcbacked Yes | 50c | 39.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…f4afbacked No | 49c | 39.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2822backed Yes | 51c | 39.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0471…be46backed No | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…b807backed Yes | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…0da2backed Yes | 50c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…4eecbacked No | 50c | 39.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…fbf4backed Yes | 48c | 38.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…bebfbacked Yes | 51c | 38.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…3dd3backed Yes | 50c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…f36fbacked Yes | 50c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…db6fbacked No | 50c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…136bbacked Yes | 48c | 36.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…275fbacked Yes | 50c | 35.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…467bbacked Yes | 51c | 35.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b1…1b61backed No | 50c | 35.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…8647backed No | 49c | 35.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…afa4backed No | 50c | 35.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…dfc2backed Yes | 50c | 35.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…1c20backed Yes | 48c | 34.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…c1d7backed Yes | 50c | 34.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…cb1abacked No | 49c | 33.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0244…c946backed Yes | 51c | 33.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…030ebacked No | 49c | 33.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…52c6backed No | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…2fb1backed Yes | 51c | 32.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…7776backed Yes | 48c | 32.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3b…2fcebacked Yes | 49c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…ab7dbacked No | 50c | 31.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cae…931cbacked Yes | 51c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…4f5abacked No | 49c | 31.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a6…633abacked No | 52c | 31.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…b80fbacked No | 49c | 30.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…9c86backed No | 52c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2025-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.