Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882e02d880b9bc719b5d5bc5755de291dc8fcae2b9b55f5a184f4c3a6cb918eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 7,221$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.11 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 4,907$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.76 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,050$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.49 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 26c | 2,728$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 75c | 1,555$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.73 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 75c | 1,485$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 75c | 1,049$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 876.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 801.41$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 78c | 695$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 680.77$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 23c | 549.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 348$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 336$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…4aebbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…5014backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…c900backed No | 76c | 282.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 75c | 208.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 166$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 162.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…a3d0backed No | 77c | 98.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 25c | 97.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 75c | 88.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 76c | 84.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…693cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 75c | 68.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Yes | 26c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…25aabacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…8622backed No | 75c | 32.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…fedcbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…83d5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…3dccbacked No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-15?Yes won
- Will Leicester vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.