Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d9e3257bb752656e8982ae5234fd09f1022d1a4f9f451c8c613890fdee2972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Yes | 48c | 24,479$11,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 19,284$10,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.31 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,918$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 46c | 1,878$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.57 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 58c | 1,493$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.44 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 52c | 1,096$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.86 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 55c | 974.71$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 49c | 910.19$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.31 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 9c | 890.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 45c | 882.97$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.12 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 58c | 855.74$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed No | 74c | 676.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 56c | 642.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 59c | 635.14$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked No | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked No | 58c | 521.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 47c | 500$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 38c | 458.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 56c | 439.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 423.32$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 49c | 422.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 54c | 378.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 43c | 364.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 361.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 58c | 320.7$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 58c | 247.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 57c | 236$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 54c | 199.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…0a71backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 168.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 42c | 153.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 42c | 150.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 51c | 146.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…96a2backed No | 58c | 136.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 47c | 130.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes | 54c | 123.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 54c | 122$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…781dbacked Yes | 51c | 121.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 117.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 43c | 110.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 39c | 106.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 52c | 100.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 42c | 92.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…d75bbacked No | 77c | 84.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 78.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 50c | 76.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 48c | 73.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 52c | 71.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…0cebbacked Yes | 54c | 71.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414e…144ebacked No | 54c | 70.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 75c | 67.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 30c | 60.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 54c | 60.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 51.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 61c | 51.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 55c | 51.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 50.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…6ac0backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 53c | 49.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…7ba8backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 47.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…4e3bbacked No | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…2c0cbacked Yes | 46c | 45.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…00c6backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 48c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 62c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…7a6ebacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 56c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…af92backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…3ed4backed No | 61c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Egypt be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Egypt be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.