TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507c…85efbacked Yes48c24,479$11,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,741.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No52c19,284$10,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,241.312,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes42c1,918$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No46c1,878$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.5743835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No58c1,493$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4423644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No52c1,096$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.8635719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes55c974.71$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.88240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No49c910.19$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes9c890.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.166428.1%18 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes45c882.97$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1214920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No58c855.74$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.417941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf6…e816backed No74c676.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.073633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No56c642.47$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7112352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked No59c635.14$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1439752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked No60c533.33$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.333938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked No58c521.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.393148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f64…32b3backed Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes47c500$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.534634.8%16 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes38c458.26$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.324040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No56c439.24$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.324652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No55c423.32$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.762,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes49c422.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8235033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes54c378.73$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5126037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes43c364.63$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c361.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No58c320.7$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3518636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked No58c247.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.87742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No57c236$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4822623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5970…11f2backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009255.4%51 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No54c199.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4910847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca1d…0a71backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No47c168.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.792,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes42c153.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1425638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes42c150.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7823245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes51c146.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.948440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d51…96a2backed No58c136.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes47c130.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.223543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes54c123.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes54c122$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8225443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc37…781dbacked Yes51c121.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No75c117.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes43c110.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6212735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes39c106.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8934151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes52c100.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2710966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x382f…42a9backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.118460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes42c92.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.984930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No54c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5128554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…d75bbacked No77c84.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c78.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.392,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes50c76.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.184235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes48c73.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.088066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes52c71.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac0…0cebbacked Yes54c71.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x414e…144ebacked No54c70.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No75c67.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes30c60.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0734554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes54c60.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.281,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No58c54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7217558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes49c51.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No61c51.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3512038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No55c51.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.137950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No53c50.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.952,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.519445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734b…2a2cbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…6ac0backed No44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes53c49.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.075450%27 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d75…7ba8backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+81.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No56c47.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9365651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3609…4e3bbacked No54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a5f…2c0cbacked Yes46c45.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2160%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked No57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8610552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84de…00c6backed No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes44c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2812936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.728256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c91…5cccbacked No44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked No44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.87750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.820250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.414055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No48c26.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1420652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No47c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed No62c24.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No55c24.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes45c23.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5676445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes44c22.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.089139.6%36 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0676…7a6ebacked No70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No56c21.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4615942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f79…af92backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…2453backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked No52c19.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75c…3ed4backed No61c18.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.