TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9941…0b8dbacked No13c5,705$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.997941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae67…c8e1backed No16c1,562$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No14c1,392$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…719bbacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes67c686.51$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.121,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes57c549.89$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.192,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes72c521.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes41c440.45$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6343835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No42c437.51$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No21c420.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8318636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No14c344.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.226126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No39c336.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5321958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes24c335$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.62835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes51c328.33$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…3eb1backed Yes48c306$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.451650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd2…f868backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9726…fb3fbacked No54c291.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes44c274.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3912352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No45c264.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes45c230$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1278735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No73c216.63$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2235033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes38c212$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4417138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Yes80c189.9$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked No48c185$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes74c173$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…b029backed No33c150.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.516246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No50c143$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes53c141.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.564346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No15c139.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4346047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…f445backed No56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No38c129.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2523245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No52c127$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No54c124.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.729455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No64c121$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4412046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8228256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes73c118.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0220250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No50c117.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9864850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No21c111$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.797799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No50c105.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7618545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No36c104$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7317558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes39c102.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.086142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes50c100.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.58356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No56c92.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No71c90$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.214839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes44c86.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3925638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes46c85.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4316841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No73c84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No39c79.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No76c79.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0913051.5%67 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No26c76.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2220652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No15c75.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed No54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.28218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5252…7aa2backed Yes34c62.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.632040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb0…6981backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No76c62.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3114…955bbacked Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.218460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.214055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e15…d2c9backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.562250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…c7f2backed No36c55.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes24c53.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes44c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Yes25c46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.520539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No35c45.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8423644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No51c44.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8220049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.612847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes47c31.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4416740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…1afebacked Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f92…7379backed Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92568%17 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked Yes46c28.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No78c25.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5748438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…2410backed No59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No50c20.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.428842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2882…c53dbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.