South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1f59c68b0b39f18815252bb7050d114f2407ae8ad02fe386b8f4f84955bedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 57c | 4,007$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.99 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 3,747$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.44 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,280$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 945.06$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 22c | 935.01$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.31 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 2c | 737$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 612.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…debabacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 61c | 328.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 300.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 26c | 194.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 30c | 161.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 62c | 113.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 44c | 110.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 97.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 75c | 66.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 64.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 58.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 43c | 58.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 36c | 44.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 68c | 42.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 41c | 37.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 37.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 63c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 43c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 76c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.