South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f8549cdbd792852fcc3d2371c030cd2f03aed2663c68ef0c054ff883cf470e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 4,049$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,786$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 1,714$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.3 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 1,673$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 42c | 1,110$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.63 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 57c | 885.26$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.66 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 65c | 863.82$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.63 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 837.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 34c | 786$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.47 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 75c | 310.63$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 273.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 43c | 240$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 42c | 181.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 161.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 67c | 142.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 130.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 52c | 120.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 56c | 114.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 64c | 109.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 59c | 105.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Under | 33c | 103.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 32c | 90.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 15c | 90.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 72.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 57c | 46.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 45.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe249…a684backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 28.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a9…26eabacked Over | 67c | 15.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.