South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7395773e3967f15eb33ab403af3fec78bad4f09da1e1f654f90be6144f04ebcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,970$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.76 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 409.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 13c | 369$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 63c | 237.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 44c | 232.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 228.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 195.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 62c | 171.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 37c | 120.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 119.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 38c | 74.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 38c | 72.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed No | 56c | 45.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 44.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 38.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 41c | 36.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 34c | 29.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 29.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: CA Huracán O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.