Middle East · resolved market
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89013825a38d14f0a5b7edf6b8e5c5573e6d037e6801c4a8c1143461fc67476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $905,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 24c | 42,686$10,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,433.53 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 2c | 36,867$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.95 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 21c | 33,061$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,883.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 3c | 28,755$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.85 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 39c | 21,079$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 5c | 20,210$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…d45bbacked Yes | 2c | 18,136$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…4c84backed Yes | 3c | 16,981$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 5c | 13,189$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…27f1backed Yes | 12c | 12,717$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…74fdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 8c | 9,620$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…6da5backed Yes | 1c | 9,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,279$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…3dcabacked Yes | 6c | 9,097$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 67c | 8,891$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…d934backed Yes | 27c | 8,711$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 5c | 8,527$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,397$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…1995backed Yes | 11c | 8,109$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…c343backed Yes | 1c | 7,645$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 5c | 7,566$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…c654backed Yes | 3c | 7,532$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 6,935$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 65c | 6,821$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 63c | 6,751$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f1…88adbacked Yes | 1c | 6,425$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 33c | 6,420$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.87 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…44f9backed Yes | 2c | 5,952$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,760$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b84bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,605$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…4e86backed Yes | 1c | 5,499$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 5,412$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,387$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…caa5backed Yes | 1c | 5,374$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 4c | 4,781$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7186…9bc6backed Yes | 2c | 4,427$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 6c | 4,154$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…9c79backed Yes | 2c | 4,031$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,945$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…43cebacked Yes | 3c | 3,580$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…b05bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,559$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…814abacked Yes | 3c | 3,430$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,422$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 71c | 3,381$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…015abacked Yes | 1c | 3,342$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 3,340$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,264$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…4476backed Yes | 4c | 3,159$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,158$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 5c | 3,069$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,893$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 74c | 2,840$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.17 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 45c | 2,686$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…df9ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,586$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,557$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 59c | 2,536$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…af04backed Yes | 3c | 2,389$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 61c | 2,356$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,350$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 66c | 2,317$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…e74ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,277$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…7fb5backed No | 67c | 2,259$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…b710backed Yes | 4c | 2,232$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 4c | 2,217$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed Yes | 4c | 2,211$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…8db9backed Yes | 37c | 2,189$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 6c | 2,100$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…8d5fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,075$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…1733backed Yes | 2c | 2,012$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…dbdfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…f087backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…5525backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…8a8abacked No | 67c | 1,821$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…a62cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c5…4052backed Yes | 1c | 1,692$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 60c | 1,674$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.77 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…13e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,619$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,615$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…7f88backed No | 58c | 1,537$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…11e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,522$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…1268backed Yes | 3c | 1,519$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,499$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…8b4cbacked No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 77c | 1,479$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f51…0fcabacked Yes | 2c | 1,476$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 72c | 1,416$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.45 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 2c | 1,394$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 19c | 1,375$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…f223backed Yes | 2c | 1,362$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 66c | 1,359$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.21 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…1ba5backed No | 67c | 1,357$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…24a9backed No | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 78c | 1,263$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…ab63backed Yes | 2c | 1,263$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 34c | 1,262$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.74 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 35c | 1,230$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.02 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…4e39backed Yes | 1c | 1,222$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.