TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c27,789$11,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,171.0517041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86da…6428backed Yes40c13,081$5,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,848.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No60c10,500$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3002661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No58c8,841$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c6,773$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.291,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes41c6,713$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.721250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes29c5,230$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes58c4,769$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.0819340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No23c3,978$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.321,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No22c3,345$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.51,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No56c3,117$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.942,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c3,001$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.171,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c2,655$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.765,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16018353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c1,934$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6889245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No58c1,731$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.226845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No58c1,714$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.294057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes41c1,705$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes62c1,681$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.152147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes41c1,674$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8859246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No60c1,038$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.611850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes51c971.46$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.783161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c939.49$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No58c909.37$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4317249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes42c884.75$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4274739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No59c726$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.545152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes43c719.4$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.864654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…4ccabacked Yes30c679.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes60c666.85$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.857037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34817247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c532$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.521,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.86038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No60c483.87$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c471.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8227037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c459.77$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6716647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes45c455.56$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.773435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No60c436.31$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.087957%45 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No58c432.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.124136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes43c406.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c400$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23215349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked No59c393.22$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes41c388.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.033557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No58c373.56$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6613849.3%68 W · 70 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No58c368$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4417757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes63c358.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7348768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Yes41c353.66$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes56c350.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3624247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No69c336.37$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6127148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked No60c322.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes58c303.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.726663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes42c300$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755726.3%15 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8032…db9fbacked Yes42c293.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c275.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7924061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ac…7ad0backed No16c275.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No56c275.39$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.121,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed No58c267.23$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ba…a7c4backed Yes39c246.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No58c237$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4629432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No48c209.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.415242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No59c201.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.261,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.058644.2%38 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11621152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No51c188.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.431960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No56c185.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3223859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes44c175.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9914840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No58c172.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked No59c163.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No60c161.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No60c161.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No60c157.14$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed No59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked No59c119.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.232825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No60c116.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Yes43c111.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No56c108.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5619261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No59c104.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.952254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes41c104.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.668243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No58c104$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3210156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5918543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked No24c95.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes43c90.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.591643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No72c89.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.158440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No33c88.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.932962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes41c87.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.