Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5000389d3e1968385ca1fd5d6b603c2c288c8c813d3b82da7cb3dc12929858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 18c | 30,000$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 8,473$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 7,589$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.7 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 3,120$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.79 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 22c | 2,800$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.57 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 2,455$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.96 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 27c | 1,586$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.68 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 71c | 1,469$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.84 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 38c | 1,413$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.18 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,249$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 58c | 1,209$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Yes | 77c | 837.41$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 45c | 787.54$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.27 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 772.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 45c | 705.08$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 519.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 398$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 57c | 351.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 18c | 196$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 35c | 195.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 54c | 181.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 57c | 174.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 60c | 168.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 59c | 167.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…4e98backed Yes | 60c | 165.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked No | 38c | 159.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 19c | 155$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 19c | 136$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 19c | 133$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 19c | 128$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Yes | 65c | 115.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 19c | 112.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 48c | 101$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 61c | 98.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 93.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…aaa3backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 73c | 87.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed No | 43c | 85.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df0…1d17backed Yes | 69c | 78.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Yes | 80c | 77.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…e8d0backed Yes | 78c | 77.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 27c | 68.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 19c | 68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 67c | 64.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 73c | 62.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 33c | 60.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 67c | 60.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 44c | 54.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…12bdbacked No | 42c | 53.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 41c | 48.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…1253backed Yes | 71c | 47.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked Yes | 77c | 42.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Yes | 58c | 42.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 41.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed No | 35c | 38.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…b8dabacked No | 43c | 38.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Yes | 72c | 36.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…e838backed Yes | 60c | 30.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 68c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Yes | 78c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…696fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.