Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd9ee887899a2d378921bdb8fc8cd83c4155e2160eefaa8716edb35626c7aa93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,157$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.45 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 20c | 2,483$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 2,351$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.47 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 75c | 1,157$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.57 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 1,034$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 16c | 692.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 655.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 488.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 370.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 297.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 280$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 21c | 169$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 155.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 25c | 126.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 73c | 97.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 18c | 89.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 74.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Yes | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 37.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 70c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.