Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b255955267a295d7aa5b785ee7979263dd5d0eebbaa59f21691ec9fbdb88172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 11,945$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.96 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 9,640$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.38 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 62c | 2,523$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.13 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.83 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 1,771$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.32 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…78bdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,715$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…185fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…c149backed No | 61c | 1,631$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56a…9679backed Yes | 39c | 1,610$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…632ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,579$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,481$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.73 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…029fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,348$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…5a5fbacked No | 61c | 1,267$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,197$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.53 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…1e8abacked No | 61c | 1,060$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 38c | 998.88$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…6195backed No | 61c | 964.99$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…db1bbacked Yes | 39c | 905$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452a…241fbacked Yes | 39c | 874$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…7f13backed Yes | 39c | 859$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5212backed Yes | 39c | 858$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…ec9ebacked Yes | 39c | 828$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 62c | 775$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…6a53backed Yes | 39c | 763$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 760.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…2166backed Yes | 39c | 706$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 699$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 37c | 583.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.71 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…5a93backed No | 61c | 549$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 64c | 543$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x590c…039fbacked No | 61c | 533$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 37c | 521.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…e272backed Yes | 39c | 495$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…3182backed No | 61c | 489$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…692bbacked Yes | 39c | 474$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…4153backed No | 61c | 467$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 452$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 422.03$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 34c | 421.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…89a3backed No | 61c | 391$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 61c | 385$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…5aedbacked Yes | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…4525backed Yes | 39c | 369$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…68edbacked Yes | 39c | 343$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 332$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…0680backed Yes | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…da99backed No | 61c | 317$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…e1c3backed Yes | 39c | 317$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…11d2backed Yes | 39c | 310$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…0331backed Yes | 39c | 302$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 69c | 286.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…abd5backed No | 61c | 283$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…b602backed Yes | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 51c | 243.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…3021backed Yes | 39c | 239$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 204.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 61c | 200.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 199.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 37c | 195.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed No | 63c | 195.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 184.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Yes | 38c | 116.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…d48ebacked No | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…992fbacked No | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…f5c9backed No | 61c | 92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 78.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…fe27backed No | 63c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 51c | 74.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +244.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…eb6fbacked Yes | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…f8a1backed Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 63c | 60.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.