TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,437 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Yes1c67,678$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.118145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c44,742$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes1c38,889$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c35,994$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c24,670$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.43822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c23,421$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.18232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Yes2c16,206$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.579051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Yes2c15,333$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes1c13,596$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…9508backed Yes1c10,754$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.78200%0 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Yes1c9,547$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4780%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Yes1c8,892$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.472853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x084d…3883backed Yes1c7,729$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes2c6,608$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes1c6,400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644030%12 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes2c6,315$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c5,966$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.13420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Yes2c5,915$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.863641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…27cfbacked Yes1c5,707$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c5,655$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Yes1c5,326$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1810034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…a5b9backed Yes1c5,125$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,955$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2429012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c4,931$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c4,657$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.117626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x650d…c383backed Yes1c4,480$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes2c4,458$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.183447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes1c4,230$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.73270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…8a63backed Yes3c3,900$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Yes2c3,535$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.823946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed Yes1c3,443$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.98160%0 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes1c3,439$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c3,388$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.968230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c3,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0516436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f25…c7edbacked Yes1c3,230$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.17100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x023e…4f21backed Yes1c3,193$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Yes2c3,148$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.843943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes1c3,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6151…1678backed Yes2c3,087$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c3,060$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes0c3,030$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Yes2c2,907$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f6…a384backed Yes1c2,862$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes1c2,253$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaa…a1a1backed Yes2c1,663$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes1c1,591$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3b…518abacked Yes2c1,537$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69a…3b90backed Yes2c1,523$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-73%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes2c1,440$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…cfeabacked Yes1c1,422$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d62…df5cbacked Yes1c1,379$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes2c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb1…c7f9backed Yes1c1,329$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee5…b0dcbacked Yes1c1,300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Yes2c1,299$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.693455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c1,275$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Yes2c1,268$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49aa…4fffbacked Yes2c1,213$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7e…6695backed Yes1c1,182$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12a…46a3backed Yes2c1,136$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.512222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes2c1,016$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe651…4661backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Yes1c960$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…bfd2backed Yes2c950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes1c927$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed Yes2c883.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d99…1b57backed Yes1c840$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684a…6a8cbacked Yes2c840$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Yes1c811.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105044%22 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes2c767.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2811456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Yes2c699$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.224055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x171e…9ec6backed Yes2c620.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes2c504.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.