WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b313371c4eb3e19d8f1dfd34435be254c995332fd689decc4b603705e65ce9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Aces | 43c | 2,450$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 40c | 2,377$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.59 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dream | 60c | 2,079$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Dream | 57c | 1,962$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 60c | 1,754$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.06 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Dream | 50c | 1,610$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dream | 59c | 1,369$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Aces | 39c | 1,286$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dream | 11c | 1,107$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Dream | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Aces | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dream | 17c | 937.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Aces | 33c | 937.79$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Aces | 41c | 723.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Dream | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Aces | 41c | 662.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.73 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Aces | 41c | 617.35$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Dream | 59c | 600.79$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dream | 57c | 570$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Dream | 58c | 557.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Dream | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dream | 34c | 459$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Aces | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Dream | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Aces | 41c | 394.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Dream | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 56c | 376.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.36 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aces | 41c | 317$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aces | 45c | 316.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Aces | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Dream | 56c | 274.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 57c | 247.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dream | 56c | 240.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Aces | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Aces | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Dream | 57c | 180.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Dream | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Aces | 58c | 148.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Dream | 56c | 141.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Aces | 35c | 130.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aces | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Aces | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Aces | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Aces | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 53c | 79.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Aces | 41c | 72.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Aces | 36c | 71.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Aces | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dream | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Dream | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Aces | 41c | 53.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…491bbacked Dream | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…37ddbacked Dream | 59c | 50.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aces | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Dream | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…9bc7backed Aces | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…c2cabacked Aces | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Aces | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…5ab8backed Aces | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Dream | 59c | 42.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Aces | 41c | 42.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Dream | 65c | 41.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Dream | 34c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Aces | 57c | 35.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Aces | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aces | 39c | 26.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…e3ecbacked Dream | 61c | 21.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.