MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65dff462e06bdf253009cbd33c92af12d70e13df70fea1b819940e9bb88e0197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Pirates, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 54c | 22,688$12,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 58c | 14,330$8,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.37 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 47c | 11,556$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.13 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 47c | 7,000$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.89 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 56c | 6,906$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 44c | 5,157$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.08 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 48c | 4,032$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 41c | 3,925$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 55c | 3,545$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.45 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 44c | 3,513$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.95 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Pirates | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,941$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 43c | 2,767$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.7 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 45c | 2,663$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.13 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,360$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 1c | 2,247$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,959$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,832$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.63 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Brewers | 59c | 1,708$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…23bdbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…9fc1backed Brewers | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,368$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.32 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…67eabacked Pirates | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…c1a7backed Pirates | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 55c | 1,281$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…e14bbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,227$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 38c | 1,214$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…9aa0backed Pirates | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…e738backed Pirates | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 40c | 1,188$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…018bbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,171$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…5d1dbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,151$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Brewers | 51c | 1,149$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 55c | 1,131$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Pirates | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,109$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.97 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…50fabacked Brewers | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3e6abacked Pirates | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pirates | 44c | 1,006$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.76 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 47c | 999.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.8 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Pirates | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Pirates | 46c | 906.52$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pirates | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 55c | 762.6$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 42c | 743.85$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pirates | 48c | 716.91$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 56c | 699$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pirates | 47c | 627.78$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 57c | 609.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.77 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 55c | 601.42$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Brewers | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 50c | 505.09$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pirates | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…3431backed Brewers | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers | 51c | 436.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Brewers | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers | 51c | 390.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 46c | 371.62$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 33c | 314.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Brewers | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 50c | 301$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Pirates | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 44c | 294.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…d77abacked Pirates | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0118…1b75backed Pirates | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Brewers | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…fdbdbacked Brewers | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f6…3190backed Brewers | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 45c | 269.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Brewers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Brewers | 68c | 236.84$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 54c | 233.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked Brewers | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…7d43backed Brewers | 55c | 228.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 53c | 225.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pirates | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.