WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd853908f12eda58b5431215baf13cbd00796ffa89ca647e77b84879fef8ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 35c | 1,816$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.26 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dream | 36c | 1,395$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Fever | 65c | 1,326$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Fever | 64c | 1,230$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Dream | 50c | 708.75$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Dream | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fever | 64c | 446$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 50c | 311.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 35c | 300.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Fever | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Fever | 53c | 183.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 74c | 109.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Dream | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Fever | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fever | 65c | 31.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Fever | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Fever | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5d…c139backed Fever | 65c | 26.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cb…0377backed Fever | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Fever | 64c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.