TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays70c71,620$49,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,739.9328646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies21c25,445$5,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.0454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays63c24,000$15,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,825.3323545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies31c18,304$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,674.291,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies32c13,077$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.7521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies33c10,427$3,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies38c10,282$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,91841747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies35c10,193$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.582,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…7a07backed Rockies32c9,651$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.4612043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies25c9,351$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.571,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies38c8,506$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.7838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies2c8,003$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockies38c7,781$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.7817156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies32c7,747$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.9556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Blue Jays54c7,000$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2302142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Blue Jays68c6,400$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04816352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a77…7926backed Blue Jays79c6,379$5,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies34c5,620$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Rockies32c5,200$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.975851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Blue Jays68c4,880$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.615944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies2c4,836$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa598…2ff3backed Blue Jays68c4,648$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays67c4,444$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays68c3,954$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.3350852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies33c3,735$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies32c3,402$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.631,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d1…83eabacked Rockies32c3,374$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Blue Jays68c3,321$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.725947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays65c3,316$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.6724154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays46c3,192$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.596749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…619fbacked Blue Jays68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays79c2,610$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9221656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies35c2,386$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies33c2,126$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.4470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies24c2,047$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.951,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Blue Jays68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies32c1,867$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1313553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays66c1,431$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.2666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Blue Jays68c1,426$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.215749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies5c1,407$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.581,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Blue Jays68c1,383$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.561770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…59e7backed Rockies25c1,370$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies33c1,143$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies31c1,131$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays75c1,115$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8476456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies2c1,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies33c1,051$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8324547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb2…7f19backed Rockies32c1,040$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rockies26c1,022$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.369151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Blue Jays68c1,011$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.395250%26 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Rockies35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb4b…931bbacked Rockies33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies26c996.85$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays68c972$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.0491749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies2c914.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays49c907.8$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.81,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Blue Jays68c898.32$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4617866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies32c887.83$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.115,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Rockies17c850$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14412924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rockies32c806.81$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.691,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies33c743.57$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.551,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rockies32c722.95$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3426949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays69c677.57$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies33c676$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Rockies32c665.63$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21314148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies52c661.54$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies3c656.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.895053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockies32c649.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20827733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e79…42e0backed Rockies25c620.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays69c604$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Rockies27c603.56$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.469550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays66c602.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3422546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Blue Jays68c526.68$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.543863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies34c433.49$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.756,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays75c427.19$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9ac5…fff5backed Blue Jays63c423.87$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.725152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Blue Jays77c401.56$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.362450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Blue Jays67c383.32$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8110255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Blue Jays68c378.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Blue Jays67c372.62$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.626550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies11c370$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies46c363.94$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Blue Jays69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies27c360$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays68c344.12$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Blue Jays69c326.09$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0911463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies32c316.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.441,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.