TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox46c15,111$6,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,951.0660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins54c14,603$7,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,717.261,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox46c12,879$5,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.3438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins54c9,850$5,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,53148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked White Sox57c7,414$4,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,225.1210041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox37c5,315$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.889,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins56c5,052$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.8154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins55c4,822$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.791,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Twins77c2,603$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.257455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Twins80c2,293$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6139739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Twins54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.41,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Twins51c1,347$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.2143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Twins56c1,253$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1399149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed White Sox45c1,044$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox31c1,035$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.674,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed White Sox37c790.66$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2321747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox44c781.15$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.652,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox41c781$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.641,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked White Sox5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed White Sox46c669$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins54c597.98$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.151,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Twins51c591.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.217136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Twins53c576.12$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7819742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Twins60c531.21$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.879551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox8c528.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…302bbacked White Sox15c512.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins53c494.72$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.522,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Twins55c494.55$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.551942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed White Sox47c494.54$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c8…2223backed Twins57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked White Sox47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Twins55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Twins53c325.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15330255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox45c320.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked White Sox17c292.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins53c283$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0131347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Twins54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Twins52c230.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.923060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed White Sox53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox45c224.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox47c213.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox44c207.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.211,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Twins52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins62c190.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Twins56c177.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3834550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox46c162.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.591,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Twins56c159.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed White Sox50c159.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Twins79c157.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed White Sox8c154.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.567427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Twins57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed White Sox45c140.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.458355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins48c140.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.846,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked White Sox40c126.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5813740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox16c119.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed White Sox54c114.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Twins54c111$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0624351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed White Sox46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Twins79c100.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.863438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Twins55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed White Sox15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked White Sox45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed White Sox46c98.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.414949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Twins55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.823658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked White Sox47c81.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed White Sox44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.218148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.125155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e85…73d6backed White Sox46c72.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Twins55c55.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2529552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1645749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Twins52c45.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.913336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins54c43.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8466250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c35…c5b3backed White Sox52c42.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins40c40.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Twins49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4816140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3833750.4%170 W · 167 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x527a…d697backed White Sox46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…49afbacked Twins55c32.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.674100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed White Sox40c31.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5328949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed White Sox45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.554352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked White Sox44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.226845.5%122 W · 146 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed White Sox47c28.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.228743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…7295backed Twins51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.726468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…77c4backed Twins55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.278456%47 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins55c27.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Twins55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4516948.5%82 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.