La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425d988ea7563e8485191578305794e1b447d611e79e3850bc87f1614f0ff9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 17c | 528,183$89,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,791.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed Yes | 60c | 15,216$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,086.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 4,011$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.9 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 18c | 2,300$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 18c | 2,014$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 17c | 1,800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 18c | 1,723$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.18 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 6c | 1,503$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 17c | 1,366$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 16c | 1,190$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,141$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 66c | 1,114$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.63 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 17c | 912.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 77c | 855$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 17c | 852.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 18c | 801.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 43c | 754$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 614.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed No | 3c | 607$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 60c | 585.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 5c | 509.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 6c | 499.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…39f5backed Yes | 77c | 349.21$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes | 78c | 319.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Yes | 60c | 284.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 18c | 284.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 70c | 248.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 31c | 245.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 6c | 245$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Yes | 67c | 237$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 18c | 231$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 65c | 230.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 40c | 199.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 183.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 14c | 166.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…1cf1backed Yes | 75c | 144.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 74c | 136$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 131.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 19c | 105.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…b7f0backed Yes | 78c | 102.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 99.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 67c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 80c | 83.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 70.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 75c | 70.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…229fbacked Yes | 66c | 56.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…f067backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…f4d0backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 74c | 49.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 64c | 48.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…33bfbacked Yes | 76c | 39.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 61c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed Yes | 63c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…15d4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 64c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…f697backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 66c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…0cf2backed Yes | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Mallorca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.