Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd23e157398315c195e31a150a3a37893a623ed290c2d22aed1934f242f4b00f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 26,093$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,319.44 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 23,936$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 11,586$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.91 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 37c | 8,011$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 62c | 5,957$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.34 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 4,598$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 73c | 1,513$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 64c | 1,272$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 55c | 660.02$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 2c | 655.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked No | 63c | 649.4$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 3c | 640$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 63c | 600$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 63c | 599.98$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 599.43$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 39c | 510.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…5cd1backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 38c | 241.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 241.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…13d6backed Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 32c | 174.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 38c | 159.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked Yes | 39c | 149.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 118.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 74.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…af5cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…8cb1backed Yes | 76c | 53.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 37c | 53.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed Yes | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…3150backed Yes | 39c | 41.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1cd6backed Yes | 69c | 29.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-03?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.