Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7483281d92d3d80e45f00207afec4d238d23b2629830eb293b4e08b1d1849e02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 57c | 24,308$13,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,926.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 14,346$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,185.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 13,683$5,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,984.34 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 61c | 3,256$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 39c | 1,590$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 841.86$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 734.5$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.67 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 59c | 673.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 51c | 641.07$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 43c | 610$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 44c | 592.59$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.85 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes | 58c | 510.34$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 55c | 499$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 52c | 472.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 60c | 445$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 43c | 209$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 61c | 197.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 56c | 179.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 60c | 165.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…df2abacked Yes | 61c | 163.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 61c | 153.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 61c | 127.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 53c | 108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…5e6bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 40c | 88.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Yes | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…98dbbacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 39c | 34.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…20afbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes | 58c | 24.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…8ba8backed Yes | 61c | 24.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…c72dbacked Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.