MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538c228821b61259e14c282bf86a159364010a23aab372b17bd2afb9ca051818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox | 48c | 293,588$140,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,584.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 52c | 85,889$44,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,226.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 52c | 44,100$22,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,168 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Orioles | 52c | 37,000$19,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,760 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 53c | 36,887$19,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,313.87 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 63c | 30,684$19,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,206.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Orioles | 53c | 15,500$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 46c | 15,000$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.44 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Orioles | 52c | 13,333$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.84 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 9c | 12,131$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 52c | 10,643$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 10c | 9,295$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.01 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox | 49c | 8,807$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.43 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 47c | 7,753$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 51c | 7,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 52c | 6,400$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 55c | 4,222$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.9 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Orioles | 53c | 4,192$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 53c | 3,701$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed White Sox | 46c | 3,100$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Orioles | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed White Sox | 45c | 2,818$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.13 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Orioles | 55c | 2,698$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.13 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Orioles | 63c | 2,312$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.75 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked White Sox | 45c | 2,296$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed White Sox | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed White Sox | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 28c | 1,600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 18c | 1,569$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,557$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 53c | 1,529$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.27 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Orioles | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 18c | 1,036$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 13c | 1,003$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Orioles | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed White Sox | 28c | 929.04$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox | 17c | 765.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed White Sox | 46c | 739.32$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Orioles | 53c | 699$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.53 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Orioles | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Orioles | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed White Sox | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Orioles | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked White Sox | 16c | 501.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Orioles | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed White Sox | 42c | 469.95$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 79c | 465.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Orioles | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Orioles | 52c | 418$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 48c | 368.48$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed White Sox | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Orioles | 55c | 362.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Orioles | 54c | 350.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox | 21c | 343.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 53c | 315$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Orioles | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…1b43backed White Sox | 48c | 290$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Orioles | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Orioles | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Orioles | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Orioles | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 24c | 216.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Orioles | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed White Sox | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Orioles | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. White Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.