College Football · resolved market
SMU vs. TCU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb8cc3e94a64e15402deecc9efacda23e63325f657ee1d630ccfcdc50683df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCUof SMU, TCU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed SMU | 33c | 50,011$16,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,484.66 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed TCU | 69c | 19,380$13,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.69 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked TCU | 67c | 18,061$12,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.01 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked TCU | 67c | 13,065$8,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.05 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TCU | 76c | 11,227$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.33 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked SMU | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked SMU | 30c | 9,737$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.2 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed TCU | 70c | 9,377$6,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.36 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SMU | 20c | 7,220$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.34 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked SMU | 31c | 6,717$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.23 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked TCU | 69c | 6,295$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked TCU | 69c | 4,189$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed TCU | 68c | 3,200$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked SMU | 31c | 2,994$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked TCU | 69c | 2,781$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.78 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked TCU | 80c | 2,674$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed SMU | 24c | 2,530$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.09 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed SMU | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed SMU | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU | 75c | 2,432$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed TCU | 70c | 2,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed TCU | 64c | 2,255$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed TCU | 79c | 2,168$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed SMU | 30c | 1,989$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.41 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked TCU | 68c | 1,654$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.51 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked TCU | 69c | 1,551$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.78 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed TCU | 68c | 1,472$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU | 75c | 1,424$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.55 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed SMU | 31c | 1,255$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TCU | 69c | 1,229$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.14 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TCU | 76c | 1,017$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked TCU | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed TCU | 80c | 861.35$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed SMU | 2c | 777$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed TCU | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked TCU | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked TCU | 70c | 691.49$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked SMU | 31c | 688$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed SMU | 25c | 649.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed TCU | 68c | 601$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed SMU | 32c | 580.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed TCU | 49c | 500$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked SMU | 22c | 448.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed TCU | 72c | 444.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed SMU | 3c | 386.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed SMU | 26c | 372.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed TCU | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked TCU | 67c | 294$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed TCU | 68c | 265.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked TCU | 46c | 250$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TCU | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed TCU | 73c | 227.04$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed TCU | 65c | 208.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed TCU | 69c | 201.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed SMU | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked SMU | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked SMU | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed SMU | 32c | 152.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed TCU | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked TCU | 69c | 149.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked TCU | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked TCU | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed TCU | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed TCU | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed TCU | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed TCU | 70c | 104.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed SMU | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed SMU | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3004…9c68backed TCU | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…c612backed SMU | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed TCU | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked TCU | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed SMU | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked TCU | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d054backed TCU | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked SMU | 28c | 72.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed SMU | 24c | 71.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked TCU | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed SMU | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked TCU | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked TCU | 68c | 58.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed TCU | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked SMU | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked SMU | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed SMU | 33c | 45.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked TCU | 68c | 45.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SMU | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked TCU | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU | 76c | 41.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0148backed SMU | 36c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed TCU | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…b867backed SMU | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked TCU | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed TCU | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked TCU | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed SMU | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…69bfbacked TCU | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed TCU | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU vs. TCUthis page
- SMU vs. TCU: O/U 63.5Under won
- Spread: TCU (-6.5)TCU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.