Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a183de957c51a469dcc977c969cd70b44fcd0ea5affaefec2c3aea54bbe80a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 41,266$11,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816.58 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 22,399$15,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.17 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 16,740$11,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.5 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 54c | 4,453$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.56 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 3,066$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.82 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed No | 71c | 789$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Yes | 59c | 481.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 79c | 423$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 262$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 40c | 245.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 77c | 128.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb48…1308backed No | 78c | 84.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21ffbacked No | 44c | 68.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 60c | 46.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed No | 51c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 61c | 25.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2025-09-24?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.