TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-09-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$857,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$863,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $857,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No43c829,297$353,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,016.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes58c200,000$115,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,5002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes58c126,308$73,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,744.583748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes57c116,300$66,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,009650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes57c100,000$57,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,5009961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes57c75,000$42,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,2502268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes58c59,987$34,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,196.1812269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c37,760$21,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,123.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes57c30,000$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,8009265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes57c26,388$15,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,271.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Yes57c15,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes58c14,000$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.992955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes57c8,500$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,65515947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes60c7,259$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.4824557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes58c5,555$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.14553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes57c3,899$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.714746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No41c2,185$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.753444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,140$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes59c1,000$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4128742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No41c999.95$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.983444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c934.41$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.115962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No34c833.94$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.814751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c758.29$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.487851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes72c654.89$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.44658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes74c623.03$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.819652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No43c599.95$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes73c574.33$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.075841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed No43c558.87$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes59c549.42$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.262157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes58c527.38$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes57c500$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes57c468.6$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No22c467.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes57c452.63$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.638030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed No31c405.46$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a14…cf54backed No43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes57c350$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.56241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No42c322.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.653748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes58c296.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.243956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes57c288.6$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.14454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c286.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.032,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…8675backed No43c276.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes57c250$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No43c232.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No35c214.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No41c202.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.042123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fbf…4953backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddef…cd67backed Yes59c188.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No44c186.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.39650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes57c175.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+76.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c174.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5127939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No42c171.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes59c169.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.793171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.498543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+54%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20f…f493backed Yes59c167.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…dad4backed Yes56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3791…158fbacked Yes57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes79c126.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911419.3%22 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.997545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc3…3612backed Yes80c93.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No43c86.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.215532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed No45c76.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Yes73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+370.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.46942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No44c62.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes58c60.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes57c57.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes59c55.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Yes58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes59c52.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.484052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd45b…933ebacked No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c57…f6d1backed Yes58c44.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.