Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31954a1af3e9d669dd2e0cb11225c32a2ba0412a342091b483fff5d565dceb7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 0c | 110,880$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…85c5backed Yes | 6c | 8,513$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,601$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.1 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 2,555$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.1 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 4c | 899.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 23c | 870.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 80c | 618.92$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 398$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 21c | 232.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 77c | 198.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 80c | 166.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 17c | 155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 64c | 149.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 23c | 145.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 19c | 142.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 20c | 126.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 23c | 65.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked No | 79c | 58.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 54.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…6017backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…e492backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 45.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…18ddbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 78c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed No | 79c | 12.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.