Fifa International · resolved market
Will Romania win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50475b6d16e3b4c2b90bf06a77dc0ae484ebb0343465742fe17c96513750a293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 6,372$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.52 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 76c | 2,235$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 2,190$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,842$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 1,275$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 28c | 1,050$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 23c | 1,015$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 927.36$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 72c | 713.03$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 77c | 611.23$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 408.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 24c | 248$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 227.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 76c | 200.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 24c | 170.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 25c | 161.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 76c | 132.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 107.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 101.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 75c | 88.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…b123backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 72c | 50.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…e1dfbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…bd3ebacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +302.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed Yes | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9a…1c04backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…354ebacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3aa9backed Yes | 74c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…bfa2backed Yes | 76c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Moldova win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Romania vs. Moldova end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.