TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,140,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,598,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,140,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes34c1,372,895$462,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,640.612626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No67c378,431$255,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,017.942853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No66c222,197$147,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,780.689450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No66c215,255$142,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,785.2610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed No67c157,351$105,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,925.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No66c35,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c34,000$22,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,56030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No66c33,199$21,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,441.6421154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No65c25,000$16,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,70079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c22,234$14,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,874.3335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No66c15,224$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.169849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Yes36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No66c14,693$9,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.3824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No66c12,110$8,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086.366357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c9,098$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.2179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c9,000$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,97035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No68c8,888$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.164045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64011029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c4,142$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.0946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes38c4,005$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.7630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No65c3,676$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.0567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No66c3,200$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c3,036$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No66c3,000$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No66c2,880$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0810455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No67c2,820$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.610335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes15c2,783$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No65c2,390$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No66c1,400$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c1,317$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No67c1,008$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.644946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No67c997.24$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.097035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c910.64$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No3c901.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No66c882$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.094845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa326…4556backed Yes34c854.55$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No66c793.4$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.764353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c756.56$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes7c741.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.674339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes35c710.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No66c700$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.53053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes13c506$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4331655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed No76c390$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No67c353.04$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.53560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes33c348.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.953417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No66c318.75$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No66c302.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0210044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c264$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes33c254.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes41c253$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2228246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked No68c217.65$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes6c190.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No67c176.52$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2514953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-57.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5126247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Yes35c145.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes36c130$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.89238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No65c125$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.753959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No64c114.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No45c111.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.337656.6%43 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes37c108.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No67c99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No66c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4417153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a9…9520backed No66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes33c59.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No64c58.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.037560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b01…a1b7backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8226054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.359961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed No71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked No44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No65c43.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9394…37dabacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb5…9846backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157565.3%49 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes34c38.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked No67c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.925545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.