Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4644c84c57379f68777bcba375e5f739e14bcf7de69ab3dd1d247d2abb257f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 17c | 809.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 489$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 401.08$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 338$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 286$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 31c | 159.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 84.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 46.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.