Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54498a0d67d739b6934c60737e04761f3c18ed32f314e4dcdbbcb10f4b22e2ce

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $477,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $533,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes	35c	96,691$33,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,847.67	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes	38c	47,551$18,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,490.98	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes	35c	25,854$9,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,805.21	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes	37c	15,271$5,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,617.04	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	36c	11,691$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,430.99	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	35c	9,038$3,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,874.56	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	39c	3,057$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.94	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	64c	3,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	49c	1,642$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.5	280	70%196 W · 84 L	+49.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes	36c	1,500$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	35c	1,500$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.78	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes	35c	1,463$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.15	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	62c	1,169$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.57	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes	37c	1,056$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.28	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes	37c	1,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed Yes	28c	704.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No	62c	700$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No	62c	700$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No	7c	660.05$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes	25c	649.99$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.49	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes	35c	600$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes	35c	599.98$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.98	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes	46c	570$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.29	306	66%202 W · 104 L	+57.3wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed No	10c	505.56$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No	66c	500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No	62c	422.63$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.03	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes	36c	399.88$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.92	316	55.1%174 W · 142 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	38c	370$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.4	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f6…730ebacked Yes	19c	359.58$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.76per pick	24cpaid	+330.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes	37c	344.22$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.86	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No	65c	307.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	63	27%17 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.16	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	36c	251$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.64	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes	35c	240$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	35c	239.55$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.71	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes	35c	230$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.5	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	36c	202.57$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.74	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes	37c	172.11$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.43	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked No	64c	155.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.63	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	65c	152$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff7…9834backed Yes	37c	135.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No	65c	131.52$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.49	157	64.3%101 W · 56 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	36c	129$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.56	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes	68c	123.36$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.48	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.65	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-7.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No	65c	110.77$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	294	58.2%171 W · 123 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	136	56.6%77 W · 59 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	36c	97.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.12	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes	35c	94.29$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes	36c	91.67$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.67	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No	65c	56.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.59	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eca…4055backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes	37c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	35c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	157	26.8%42 W · 115 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes	35c	49.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.49	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Yes	33c	48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.16	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked No	66c	42.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	155	58.1%90 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	65c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No	65c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…cd54backed No	64c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	63c	19.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	255	45.5%116 W · 139 L	-18.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb32b…522dbacked No	65c	19.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?this page
Will Wolves vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event