MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x536e13fc85ca1694c95f13fa4685e05492fc3b1f694d2c4064cdcc5ca20cd413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Athletics, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 61c | 48,551$29,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,040.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 15c | 13,186$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.26 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 40c | 10,398$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.06 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 38c | 10,002$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.61 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Athletics | 39c | 9,656$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.01 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 39c | 9,434$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.47 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 62c | 8,894$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Athletics | 41c | 5,006$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.46 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Athletics | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 39c | 4,100$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 53c | 3,645$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.17 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Athletics | 37c | 3,531$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.87 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Red Sox | 59c | 3,419$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.18 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Red Sox | 60c | 2,930$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 63c | 2,804$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Red Sox | 62c | 2,630$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.4 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Athletics | 38c | 2,615$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Red Sox | 61c | 2,254$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…9647backed Athletics | 40c | 2,254$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 40c | 1,957$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,823$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,513$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Athletics | 53c | 1,434$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.37 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Red Sox | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 69c | 1,297$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.04 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 59c | 1,259$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 60c | 1,242$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 61c | 1,129$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Athletics | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Athletics | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Athletics | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 39c | 999.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Red Sox | 62c | 987.89$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 41c | 975.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 67c | 904.36$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 61c | 812$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Red Sox | 61c | 808.48$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Red Sox | 64c | 773.06$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 63c | 670.53$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 26c | 666.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox | 69c | 648.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Red Sox | 69c | 643.01$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 636.1$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 61c | 566$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Athletics | 39c | 562$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Red Sox | 60c | 544.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 63c | 532.04$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Athletics | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Red Sox | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 42c | 472.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 41c | 431.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 63c | 397.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Red Sox | 63c | 396.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 62c | 388.49$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 61c | 386.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Athletics | 40c | 375.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Athletics | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 42c | 369.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Red Sox | 61c | 339.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Red Sox | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Red Sox | 45c | 326.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 38c | 323.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Red Sox | 56c | 322.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Athletics | 31c | 319.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Red Sox | 63c | 309$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 39c | 288$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Athletics | 31c | 280.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Red Sox | 61c | 277.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Athletics | 31c | 270$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Red Sox | 52c | 257.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Red Sox | 71c | 251.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Sox | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 61c | 247.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Athletics | 33c | 240.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 69c | 237.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 33c | 237$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Red Sox | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox | 60c | 222.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Red Sox | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Red Soxthis page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.