Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50622da45a3974b253d8796ac5b6d8916255829b3331e08c6c161980b8a2d092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 6,634$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.61 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 2,634$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.03 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 935.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 893$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes | 74c | 737.12$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 612.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 552.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 399.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 79c | 393.84$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 33c | 330.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…8714backed Yes | 75c | 290.91$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 76c | 289.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 79c | 251.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 251.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 28c | 175.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 73c | 149.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 14c | 133.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 62c | 122.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…f949backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…6fe8backed Yes | 67c | 79.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 70c | 65.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…7fc4backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 77c | 43.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…7db8backed Yes | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5592backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 37.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…bc8abacked Yes | 80c | 32.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9b…2f15backed Yes | 62c | 32.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Yes | 77c | 32.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…a9dbbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 80c | 20.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…a526backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Dominican Republic win on 2025-10-10?No won
- Will Uruguay vs. Dominican Republic end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.