Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d9b6fa879247d9060a30ed15e4a42e4f1cdf8e4acd769c161a5248b34445d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 6,937$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 4,513$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.86 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 6c | 2,562$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 1,298$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.96 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 30c | 999.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 62c | 646.9$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 40c | 518.41$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 500.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 324.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…8675backed No | 41c | 301.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 38c | 241.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 41c | 157.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 156$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 41c | 151.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 40c | 138.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 16c | 124.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 62c | 121.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…e7bbbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes | 62c | 80.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 39c | 73.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 38c | 73.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 39c | 65.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 43c | 47.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 26c | 41.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…cad4backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…2998backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…5ef8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…a2e7backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 23.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked Yes | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmo FF win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will Ludogorets win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
- Will Malmo FF vs. Ludogorets end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.