Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f0efac204ffebd3a6b856b17dd83f5a9a2d5b1873d5191b137f4beb1ee50aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 68c | 190,352$129,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,035.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 33c | 62,864$20,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,433.39 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 41,198$13,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,004.92 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,200 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 20,100$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,657.35 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 34c | 16,485$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,811.02 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 33c | 15,152$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 76c | 13,709$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,393.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 29c | 1,479$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.92 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,417$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.34 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 1,365$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.97 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,235$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 29c | 729.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed No | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 68c | 637.96$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 33c | 612$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 553.05$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 495.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 32c | 440$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 7c | 371.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 33c | 360$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 33c | 352.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 31c | 350.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 43c | 312.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 32c | 294$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 33c | 241.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 56c | 227.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 67c | 219.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 196.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e990backed Yes | 74c | 155.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 75c | 145.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 144$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 68c | 74.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…f2a5backed Yes | 62c | 55.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Yes | 43c | 50.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.