La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b986508ada6fb896f012a34cf085a2e8007c0031ca43b9cc745308fb600478f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 66c | 5,009$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.67 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 35c | 2,699$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 65c | 2,082$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.21 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,589$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.57 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 59c | 838.65$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked No | 53c | 687.45$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 18c | 560.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 70c | 503.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 31c | 374.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 65c | 343.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 66c | 304$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 271.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 218$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 33c | 206.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 190.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 36c | 163$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 36c | 140.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 93.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 37c | 92.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 79c | 66.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…22a5backed Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…0374backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 68c | 38.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…084fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 66c | 19.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 67c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?this page
- Will Alaves win on 2025-09-24?No won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.