Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8b04e5977de8aec334889c5e69ac0d7994beb9dadb99d163ecc7e50a4fde25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $551,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 64c | 198,014$126,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,689.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 36c | 170,333$61,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,225.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 65c | 68,500$44,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,525 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 36c | 42,004$15,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,862.96 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 40,000$25,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,590.81 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 78c | 37,080$28,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,922.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 27,335$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,490.72 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 36c | 11,303$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 36c | 9,994$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 64c | 9,721$6,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 36c | 9,409$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.6 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 78c | 7,516$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.34 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 37c | 3,599$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 64c | 3,488$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 3,220$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.63 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…bbaabacked Yes | 64c | 2,667$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 36c | 2,519$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.11 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 36c | 2,334$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 39c | 2,302$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,487$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 1,389$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 1,351$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.07 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 1,028$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.89 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 38c | 1,017$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 834$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 63c | 790.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 36c | 758.03$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 618.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 599.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.67 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 37c | 544.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 44c | 458.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 408.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 404.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 65c | 379.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 54c | 369.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 71c | 355$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 38c | 334.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 38c | 303$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 62c | 294$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 281$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked No | 37c | 267.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 63c | 258.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 37c | 241$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…c4d4backed Yes | 64c | 222.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 36c | 219.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 37c | 212.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…050bbacked Yes | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 161.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…12a6backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…88e2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…00e2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…f9bfbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +149%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 37c | 150.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 39c | 127.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed Yes | 65c | 118.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 117.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 39c | 106.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 36c | 98.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 91.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 65c | 89.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…2577backed Yes | 63c | 84.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 56c | 81.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…534ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…8a34backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe2…72a7backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…1fb0backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.