Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4a50d8410fafa21fcccd173f4f442c875d6ebd5c0eb099de8d4daf96dd6222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes | 68c | 709$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 53c | 570.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 28c | 499.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.91 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 398.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 32c | 331.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes | 78c | 311.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 278.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 99.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 27c | 86.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…085ebacked Yes | 73c | 75.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…ab89backed Yes | 71c | 71.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 70.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 29c | 48.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…4189backed Yes | 72c | 39.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes | 72c | 37.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…305fbacked Yes | 72c | 33.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 70c | 33.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.